Lisbon Too

About 2 week ago I blogged that I thought Lisbon was slipping away and that defeat was likely and that a general election would follow as indeed would a leadership contest in Fianna Fail. Given the recovery in public support for the Treaty that scenario now looks less likely although the Yes camp aren’t out of the woods yet. So where has it all changed? Well a number of things have happened. Firstly the left opposition to the treaty have once again been outflanked by the far right. Coir’s attention grabbing posters claiming that the minimum wage will drop to €1.84, along with the arrival in Ireland of the libertarian UKIP has gone down like a lead balloon. The constantly grating clever dick accent of Nigel Farage has not connected with, to quote Joe Higgins, “the ordinary working class man and woman”. The reality is that Farage cares very little about Ireland and what it does rather he’s more interested in raising his profile in Britain as he’s coincidently announced he’s to break the traditional moratorium on challenging the House of Common’s speaker because he, Bercow, is on the left of the Tory Party.

Now another home counties accent has re-joined the fray, the sinister Cockney tribesman Declan Ganley. Ganley is a man with his past in a closet. Famously he retired from politics after being heavily defeated in the European elections. Ganley queried the count and when he was granted a re-count after he claimed a wheelie bin full of his votes disappeared, the result saw his actual vote drop as Labour votes were found in his pile. Ganley claims to have been an adviser to a Baltic state where Ministers subsequently claimed they’d never heard of him! His company Rivada boasts on its board retired US generals. Rivada has extensive contracts with the US Military for communications systems. His party Libertas is a private company. In the European Elections he won just 1 of the 100 seats they’d targeted. He’s not the only US military contractor to oppose Lisbon, but he’s the most vocal. Youtube footage shows him hiding a US flag before an interview with a German channel. I suppose it’s a case of an old Tory hiding Old Glory!

Labour MEP Nessa Childers was canvassing with us since I last blogged on the issue. The response to the canvas is very positive in Wexford. Wexford voted no in June 2008 by a margin of about 7%. If the canvas is suggesting now more voters in a constituency like Wexford and if this swing is being reflected nationally then I believe that the treaty can now pass. Wexford is a typical bell weather constituency in this referendum. If there is a swing to Yes in Wexford and it is replicated all over the country then I believe that Lisbon will pass. However if Marx could declare that it was too early to pronounce on the French Revolution 70 years after the event, then I’m more than entitled to warn against what could happen between now and polling day.
Coir hijacked the internationalist James Connolly to suggest he'd have backed their narrow reactionary campaign. Coir are anti-woman and it shows an ignorance of history to suggest that Connolly was such.
The Yes campaign has sharpened its focus, the red herrings on QMV, self amending treaty, neutrality, abortion, conscription, workers rights etc that surfaced the last time have been nailed. The real fear is that public opposition to the government’s NAMA proposal will galvanise some voters to vote against their better interests as they’ve had enough of the shambles. That’s understandable but voters had that chance last June. There are some things more important than Cowen and Co and this one of them!

Coir principles, rotten to the core

It’s about 20 years since I first came across one of the founding fathers of Youth Defence. He is from Blanchardstown and he’s a decent guy. We’d often debated politics, he a strong but critical FF supporter, I on the other hand, backed Dick Spring. He embraced Youth Defence with vigour about the time that Charlie Haughey lost out to Reynolds and the horrific events of the X case unfolded. On the other side of the fence, I had huge sympathy for the child at the centre of the case and felt it was wrong that a 12 year old rape victim be put through the additional trauma of child birth. My acquaintance was opposed to allowing the girl terminate her pregnancy and threw himself full blooded into Youth Defence. All abortion was in his view wrong, all women who took that choice were as much murderers as the medical staff who performed terminations.
The 12 months from the Autumn of 1991 to late 1992 was a very dramatic year. It saw enormous scandals of all sorts rock the Irish establishment; Greencore, Beef Tribunal, Telecom Eireann, Bishop Casey, Ben Dunne, culminating in the hammering of Fianna Fail by Labour in the General Election. Middle class folk wanting to hold onto old certainties found the going tough and when their kids came home from the latin mass they joined Youth Defence and took to militant campaigning like ducks to water. Nothing was too far to get the type of publicity they craved. Picketing Brendan Howlin’s family home, opposing access to contraception, regular spats with the Irish Family Planning Association on IUD’s quickly gave them the reputation of the Religious Right’s wild child.
Except many who were genuinely religious had doubts too, the attachment of some to quasi religious conservatism of the 1930’s was noticeably out of step with the average Catholic. Many YD members were devout catholics who preferred the Pre Vatican 2 Catholic church to the doctrine of the modern Catholic Church. Psychiatrist Patricia Casey was deeply disturbed at the association of Youth Defence with the Pro-Life movement. Youth Defence grew quickly but in so doing damaged their name.

Needless to say, YD split not before the divorce referendum with the establishment of “No Divorce Campaign” with their infamous Hello Divorce Goodbye Daddy posters, “HLI” and “Family and Life” all horse from the YD stable. Youth Defence learned that for each campaign they needed to re-morph under a new title drawing the public away from the antics of Youth Defence. I recall a Canadian priest touring Ireland with what he claimed to be an aborted foetus in a jar as a publicity stunt.
So “No To Nice” evolved into Coir. When attacked by FF over the link to YD, Coir described the attack as dirty politics. But YD and Coir share the same office in Capel St! All campaigns run on the same basic YD formula of half truth and naive and exaggerated claims from Niamh that a hidden section of a treaty would bring in abortion by the back door as part of some European conspiracy, all funded from out of thin air.

I’ve regularly heard politicians ask questions as to where individuals with criminal records known to be claiming social welfare get the resources to maintain their lifestyle. Similarly I wonder where does Coir and similar organisations get the funds to run their campaigns. Already the posters are up so perhaps the buckets of dollars have arrived from the US. Ten years ago Scully raised nearly £500 K for his own outfit Pro Life Movement Ltd.
Posters such as the one claiming that the signatories of the 1916 would oppose the Lisbon Treaty don’t come cheap. James Connolly was central to that rebellion; he was an internationalist who believed in women’s rights. A key part of the proclamation states The Republic guarantees religious and civil liberty, equal rights and equal opportunities to all its citizens, and declares its resolve to pursue the happiness and prosperity of the whole nation and of all its parts, cherishing all the children of the nation equally.
Presumably the boys and girls of Coir haven’t read the Charter of Fundamental Rights that is included in the Treaty of Lisbon. The charter extends every Irish citizen rights significantly; the right to join a union, new rights in education, the right to travel (something YD opposed in 1992), rights to asylum, children’s rights to name a few. Coir (or Youth Defence as I remember it) is opposed to Lisbon not because they of the maths of QMV decision making or any interest in neutrality (their class don’t do the fighting but usually get working class to do it for them), but because it makes a right wing agenda less likely. The facts are that Coir opposes the extension of the very liberties in the 1916 proclamation that they are now hypocritically claiming to protect.
Coir will use any referendum to obstruct anything that impacts on their agenda of a 1950’s Ireland. Even if it has no connection as is the case with abortion and Lisbon, they’ll warp the logic and add a half truth to an obfuscation and hey presto, they’ll get the referendum commission to spend tax payers cash spinning their line for them.
They’ve realised that by playing games with the constitution they can achieve much more than seeking a mandate on behalf of their electorate, but here’s a challenge to them, why not seek a mandate at the next General or local election, indeed I’d relish a debate with any Coir Candidate in Wexford in the next 5 years. Any time. I’d enjoy picking up where myself and my old acquaintance left off almost 20 years ago, my latin isn’t as it was but I’ll take Coir/YD on!